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Thursday, 13 April 2017

2000 Guineas Outsider Tip

The first colts’ classic of the season, the Qipco 2,000 Guineas Stakes, is still a few weeks away, but Aidan O’Brien’s Galileo colt Churchill is already past the post, if the ante post market is to be believed. The European champion two-year-old stayed on well to win the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes, over 7 furlongs, at Newmarket last October by 1¼ lengths, despite being denied a clear run, and seems sure to be a tough nut to crack once again.

However, 6/4 favourites are not what we’re about and we much prefer to take a chance on Kevin Ryan’s unbeaten colt Syphax, who can be backed at a standout 50/1 with Stan James. By Arch out of a Kingmambo mare, Syphax is bred to stay a mile, or further, and stepped up significantly on his winning debut, in a lowly Musselburgh maiden, when edging out Best Of Days in the Group 3 Acomb Stakes, over 7 furlongs, at York last August. The runner-up did the form no harm when winning the Group 2 Royal Lodge Stakes over the Rowley Mile at Newmarket on his only subsequent start and, having displayed signs of inexperience on both starts, Syphax remains open to significant improvement, especially over a mile. Win or lose, 50/1 is a silly price.

Selection: 3.35 Newmarket, Saturday, May 6 - Syphax each-way (50/1 with Stan James)

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