The Dubai 100 Challenge
Stakes (2.40) at Newmarket on Friday has typically been a poor race
for favourites in recent years and, while the nature of the race
means that it’s rarely won by an out-an-out longshot, we fancy a
couple to go better than their odds imply.
It’s interesting that
connections are still persevering with Code Red (40/1), who’s
still an entire colt and could, conceivably, have been shipped off to
stud by now. Anyway, the son of Bahamian Bounty ran his best race of
the season when last of six, beaten just 2¾ lengths, behind Opal
Tiara in the Supreme Stakes at Goodwood in August, his first start
since May, and may be able to build on that effort. The form leaves
him with a little to find with So Beloved and Jallota, but he could
fare better if ridden with a little more restraint and comes into the
race a relatively fresh horse. Any rain that falls is in his favour.
So Beloved
(14/1) ran his best race of the season when second of ten, beaten 1¼
lengths, behind Nemoralia in the City of York Stakes three starts
ago, but has failed to settle in subsequent races. On his best form
he only has a few pounds to find with the principals and, with a
slightly larger field to help him settle, he could represent some
value at double-figure odds. He’s yet to win a Group 2 contest, but
was far from disgraced in the Group 1 Sussex Stakes, over a mile, at
Goodwood in July – a race in which Richard Pankhurst finished last
– and appears to have been underestimated by the bookmakers.
Selections:
Newmarket 2.40 Code Red
(40/1), So Beloved
(14/1)
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