The Betfred November Handicap, run over
1 mile 4 furlongs at Doncaster, has produced winners at 20/1 (twice),
14/1 (twice) and 10/1 in the last ten years and, with a maximum field
of 23 runners going to post on Saturday, is the perfect way for us to
bid farewell to the Flat racing season.
Litigant (16/1) has already done
this column a favour this season, when returning from a 16-month
absence to win the Betfred Ebor, over 1 mile 6 furlongs, at York in
August at odds of 33/1. Joseph Tuite’s 7-year-old has run just once
since, when ninth of thirteen, beaten 9¼ lengths, behind Flying
Officer in the Group 2 Qipco British Champions Cup at Ascot three
weeks ago, but hardly had the run of the race on that occasion. He
should be suited by Town Moor, especially on soft going, and it’ll
be fascinating to see how he goes back at 1 mile 4 furlongs off his
revised mark. Oisin Murphy, who won on him at York, has been claimed
by Qatar Racing for Argus, but George Baker, who won on him twice for
previous trainer Seamus Durack, is an able deputy.
Storm Force Ten (16/1) ran
inexplicably badly when last of eleven, beaten 7¾ lengths, behind
Argus over course and distance two weeks ago, but was entitled to
have needed that run, his first since May, and may be capable of much
better. Certainly, his early-season form with subsequent Chester Cup
and Gold Cup winner Trip To Paris entitles him to respect and he was,
frankly, just too bad to be true last time.
Seamour (12/1) doesn’t really
fall into the ‘outsider’ category in race where the major
bookmakers bet 6/1 the field and 12/1 bar two, but Brian Ellison’s
decision to run him here, rather than in the Cesarewitch, over 2
miles 2 furlongs, at Newmarket in September could be a shrewd move.
The Azamour gelding weakened in the closing stages of the Doncaster
Cup when last seen in September and, although his recent wins have
come over 2 miles, he may not be unduly inconvenienced by dropping
back in distance, especially on soft going.
So, there you go Flat racing fans, in
our final ‘tilt’ of the 2014/15 season, our three against the
field are, in no particular order, Litigant (16/1), Storm
Force Ten (16/1) and Seamour (12/1). Good luck!
No comments:
Post a Comment